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Enter any prediction question and our AI will analyze the probability using historical data, current trends, and expert reasoning.

Current market price (optional):
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Fed Rate Cuts Tesla Stock GPT-5 Release US Recession Mars Landing
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AI Probability
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AI Analysis

📈 Cross-Platform Arbitrage

Compare prices across Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt to find mispricing

Click "Scan Markets" to compare prices across prediction market platforms

📉 Confidence Calibration

Shows if AI is over/under confident - perfect calibration = diagonal line

Predicted Probability Actual Outcome Rate
Perfect Calibration
Your Predictions

Calibration Stats

Brier Score
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Lower is better (0 = perfect)
Calibration Error
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Tendency
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Resolved Predictions
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📊 Backtest Mode

Test AI accuracy on historical resolved markets

Select the number of markets and click "Run Backtest" to test AI accuracy on historical resolved markets

My Predictions

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Live Markets

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